Sunday, July 31, 2011

IF Issue: Saturday July 30, 2011

Bob Chapman: Debt Ceiling Political Theatre-Gold & Silver Markets 3/3 – Vincent Finelli 

Bob Chapman - Financial Survival - 27 July 2011 – Melody Cedarstrom, discountgoldandsilver.com
Freedom Files w/James Burns
Weekdays! 3-5 pm (Central)

Bob Chapman - The Sovereign Economist - 27 July 2011 

US MARKETS

As we write on Wednesday, 7/27/11, there is still no debt limit for the US Treasury and the protagonists are still playing politics. That leaves a week to find a solution by August 2nd. 
The first House passed a $16.7 trillion cut, cap and balance bill calls for a cut in the fiscal September 1st budget for 2012 and a balanced budget amendment that goes into effect in five years. Why five years, so they can amend it in a couple of years? This is truly political theater. This has little to do with the budget and everything to do with political powers. Worse yet, unless it meets the President’s approval, he will veto the bill.
Rating agencies such as Moody’s have warned of downgrading US sovereign debt, or at best being put on a negative watch list. We believe this is just another part of the play, or part of Wall Street and banking efforts to get extending legislation passed.
The media is solidly behind the Democrats for an increase in the debt limit and little or no cuts in spending. Mainstream media has even taken sides blaming the problem on the Republicans. Usually such positions are more subtle, but not this time. 
We see little attempt by Congress to really cut spending. All they are really interested in is spending more money. Congress knows if proper cuts are made it will be very negative for the economy. From their viewpoint and from the viewpoint of their handlers there has to be little or no cuts and an increase to $16.7 trillion to take the economy past the next election in a year from November. A Republican plan to cut $9 trillion over ten years has been rejected out of hand. The consideration now is for $2.4 trillion. Obviously government cannot function unless we continue as we have been building more debt and Americans will just have to be patient until the whole debt edifice collapses. This kind of forced prosperity always has ended badly. Just look at history, it is all there for you to see. The same mistakes over and over again. America’s Keynesianism is certainly the antithesis of sound money. That is what the basis to the problem is. The corporatist fascist model. The model that has been foisted upon us since 1935. Welfare and state socialism of one form or another. That is evidenced by food stamps, unemployment insurance and extended insurance, and the underlying concepts of Medicare and Social Security. Under these circumstances and that of debt impedes the investment of capital. That means there can only be limited prosperity, especially if regulations become more onerous and taxes rise.

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Sunday, July 24, 2011

IF Issue: Saturday July 23, 2011

Excerpts from the latest issue:
Bob Chapman-Freedom Files w/James Burns

Bob Chapman with Jeff Crouere - Rings

Bob Chapman on The Sovereign Economist 20 July 2011 [FULL]

Bob Chapman - The Financial Survival [FULL]- 20 July 2011

Bob Chapman - National Intel Report - [FULL] July 19, 2011 –John Stadtmiller

Bob Chapman - A Marines Disquisition - July 21, 2011

Bob Chapman - Sovereign Economist - July 20, 2011  - Ralph Evans

Bob Chapman - LibertyRoundTable - July 22, 2011 – Sam Bushman

Bob Chapman – Discount Gold and Silver Trading - July 22, 2011


US MARKETS

People know higher prices caused by inflation mean they can buy less with their money. What they do not think about is the long-term affect of inflation and how it negatively affects their overall standard of living. Inflation can only be caused by the Federal Reserve by creating money and credit in excess of economic growth. This is what the economy has had to contend with since 2000. That process was begun immediately after the dotcom stock market collapse. That evolved into the real estate bubble and when the second bubble broke the creation of money and credit boomed in order to offset the deflationary result of the real estate collapse. The Fed is still doing the same thing today as they did previously via monetary easing. Of course, that effort is being assisted by zero interest rates. Due to the resultant inflation, created via these policies, the US dollar has come under pressure versus other currencies, but particularly versus gold and silver. 
Today we watch the machinations in Congress, which is trying to muster an agreement on the short-term debt extension. Little is said about the long-term debt problem, or about the continuance of money and credit creation and zero interest rates, both of which are inflationary. In this process our President has offered up the previously looted Social Security and Medicare programs. Programs the public has paid for to support them in their final years of life. Those who buy Treasury securities are the biggest losers. Even that 10-year note at 2.92% is losing about 8% of the value of its funds annually. Millions of investors are doing just that. The Fed believes that in order to keep the game in motion interest rates must stay at zero, the impact of excessive creation of money and credit, has to continue and the decimation of peoples savings and dollar purchasing power has to be destroyed in that process. The idea is to let dollar holders take the losses as Congress and the Fed proceed on their merry way destroying our financial structure. Wall Street knows this, but is more than happy to go along with the program and in a slow process investors are switching to gold and silver coins, bullion and shares to offset the loss being foisted upon them.
The next question is one we have entertained many times before. Will government commandeer private pension plans, 401Ks and IRA’s in return for a government guaranteed annuity; will these retirement plans be traded for US Treasuries; or like one bill says, limit the amounts that can be removed and how many times you can remove funds? The only way we know to protect yourselves is to get out of these vehicles, or borrow against them and invest in gold and silver related assets. Those of you who want to cash out and move out of the country had best do so soon. We believe there is a good chance capital controls could be put in place in the US. We previously lived under such currency blocking in the 70s in South Africa and Rhodesia, now Zimbabwe. It is like being in a financial prison. Such restrictions would, of course, be wrapped in anti-terrorism terms, so few will suspect what is being done to Americans. The window of opportunity to leave the US is probably only two years away, or perhaps three years.
Government debt is piling up and the Fed is already buying 80% of this debt, which means other avenues of finance need to be found, to fund government. That is when retirement funds will be confiscated for the greater good and funds will only be able to be sent outside the country with federal government approval. Welcome to our modern police state. You don’t understand currency controls until you have lived under them, as we have. Present Treasury and Agency needs are large, but future bond sales and debt service will be daunting. Remember, unfunded future liabilities or about $105 trillion, a staggering figure. As we go forward all government can do is print more money via the Fed and that means more inflation and the end of what was the American dream.
Recovery has been very elusive. A slight move upward and then trailing off failure. Mr. Bernanke tells us he will use proceeds of the sales of securities to fund Treasury and Agency future purchases, he will roll the paper, so he can continue to fund these markets. Continuing to buy 70% to 80% of these debt securities is a tall order. We do not know when such a policy will end, but it looks like they’d like it to be perpetual. That, of course, is impossible because the economy would move into hyperinflation and the dollar would fall in value.
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